Top Ten factors determining who will win the Texas Democratic presidential primary
The eyes of America are upon us, and Texas Democrats will play a big role in determining whether Illinois Sen. Barack Obama clinches his party’s presidential nomination or whether his battle with Hillary Clinton will continue into Pennsylvania and Puerto Rico.
Pre-primary polls show that the Texas race remains within the margin of error. With the contest tight and time running out before Tuesday’s vote, what could tip the balance? Here are ten important factors:
Who has the most enthusiastic supporters. The polls that call the race dead even are based largely on past voting behavior by different demographic groups. But if Obama turns on (and turns out) young people, African Americans and liberal activists, he could turn the turnout models of their heads. Ditto Hillary Clinton and Latino voters, particularly along the Texas-Mexico border, where she is running far ahead.
Which organization delivers. The Clinton campaign has a well-tested statewide organization honchoed by former Texas Land Commissioner Garry Mauro and a network of local machines run by members of Congress and the legislature. The Obama team has sprouted from the netroots and has many more newcomers. Team Obama has more money and is on a real winning streak (11 in a row). Keep reading at the Houston Chronicle.
